Cashflow Forecasting

CoggerGurry • October 10, 2023

Cashflow forecasting is critical for small businesses. 


What is it? 


Cash flow forecasting is a method of predicting cash inflows and outflows to see how much money you’ll have in the future. It provides a window into your business’s financial health and can help plan spending. 


A cash flow forecast is in contrast to a cash flow statement. A statement focuses on past cash flows; a forecast predicts the future. It’s essential that you understand your cash flow cycle, which boils down to whether you’ve got more money coming in than going out. If you have more cash going out, you must address it quickly. 


Staying on top of your business cash flow helps you pay bills on time and helps ensure you can pay yourself. When costs are rising (as per the current climate), it becomes even more imperative that businesses get their cash flow management right, and cash flow forecasting is one way to do it. 


Benefits 


The benefits include: 


  • spotting cash shortages and giving you time to work on contingency plans, whether delaying spending, requesting extra credit from suppliers, or securing a business loan.   
  • assessing the affordability of your growth plans – for example, they can show if there will be enough money to buy new tools or hire a new employee. 
  • ensuring you have enough money to pay you, the business owner! 
  • identifying quickly if expenses are climbing or income is slumping. 
  • highlighting fixable cash flow problems such as slow-paying customers, impractical payment terms, seasonal cycles, or over-reliance on high-cost finance. 


Key Components 


The key components are – 


  • starting position (cash in the bank). 
  • expected cash in (hopefully mostly from sales but may also be from loans or sales of assets). 
  • expected cash out. 
  • net cash flow shows if cash reserves have grown or shrunk. 
  • closing balance. 

How often? 


  • Businesses can do cash flow forecasting for any timeframe and duration. As you might imagine, it gets harder to accurately predict incomings and outgoings the further into the future you go. But whatever range you choose, it’s a good idea to keep refreshing your forecast. 
  • If you run a 12-month forecast, for example, with a column for each month, you might refresh it at the end of each month. Drop the last month off, add another month to the future, and check all the forecasts in between to see if anything needs updating. 


Ways to increase profitability 


For most businesses, the easiest way to improve profits isn’t landing the next big client. Instead, it’s improving the little things, such as: 

 

  • Increasing prices by a small margin, such as 5% or in line with CPI. 
  • Collecting money owed to you faster. 
  • Checking that you’re not paying too much for overheads like power, the Internet and office supplies. These can be small amounts, but they add up over time. 
  • Look to renegotiate some of your earlier agreements. 

 

Monitoring of cashflow and staying mindful of your ins and outs can bring positive changes to your business and gets you working on your business instead of in it. If you need any help establishing a process or need some accountability CoggerGurry can assist you with this process.  Contact us now to get started on your cashflow forecasting journey. 



By Cogger Gurry December 17, 2025
Aged Care “Deposits” Explained: RADs, DAPs and What Families Need to Know When a loved one moves into residential aged care, one of the biggest (and most confusing) costs is the accommodation payment — often referred to as an “aged care deposit”. In practice, there are a few different ways to pay, and the best option depends on cash flow, assets, and your broader plans. Step 1: Start with the room price Before entry, you’ll agree on a room price with the aged care home. Providers must publish their prices and you can negotiate (but you generally can’t be charged more than the published price for that room). If a provider wants to charge above a government-set threshold, they may need approval from the Independent Health and Aged Care Pricing Authority. Step 2: Your means assessment affects what you pay Services Australia assesses income and assets to determine whether you’ll pay the full accommodation cost yourself or receive some government support. Those with support may pay an accommodation contribution instead of the full price. The three common payment methods Most residents will be offered one (or a mix) of the following options: 1) Refundable Accommodation Deposit (RAD) A RAD is a lump sum paid upfront (think of it like a large bond). It is refundable when the resident leaves care, less any agreed deductions (for example, unpaid fees). The RAD is also treated as an asset in the means assessment. 2) Daily Accommodation Payment (DAP) A DAP is a non-refundable daily amount, like paying “rent” instead of a lump sum. It’s calculated using the government-set Maximum Permissible Interest Rate (MPIR), applied to the unpaid portion of the room price. In simple terms: DAP = (Unpaid RAD × MPIR) ÷ 365 3) A combination of RAD + DAP Many families choose to pay part of the RAD upfront (to reduce the daily cost) and pay a smaller DAP on the balance. This can help manage cash flow while keeping some funds available. An additional option is to use the part payment of the RAD to fund the payment of the DAP. This helps with cashflow but does have the effect of increasing the amount of the DAP as the RAD diminishes over time. A note on recent reforms Rules can differ depending on when someone enters care. Recent reforms introduced RAD retention for eligible residents (a small non-refundable amount deducted over time, capped) and changes affecting how accommodation costs are managed under newer arrangements. If you’re arranging entry now, it’s worth checking which “entry date” rules apply before signing. How we can help Aged care decisions are often made quickly, under stress. Before you commit to a RAD, DAP, or a mix of both, it’s wise to consider how the choice affects: ongoing cash flow and affordability sale/retention of the family home Centrelink outcomes and estate planning General information only: This article is not personal financial advice. We recommend seeking advice tailored to your circumstances before making decisions. Before you choose a RAD, DAP or a combination, get advice tailored to your circumstances. Call us to book an aged care funding review, so you can feel confident about the decision and avoid surprises.
By Cogger Gurry November 13, 2025
Start Your Year-End Payroll, Tax And Employee Leave Planning Now The end-of-year holiday period can be make or break for your business. Whether you’re gearing up for a rush or planning a shutdown, the key is early planning for payroll, tax and super, alongside careful compliance with workplace laws.  Start by checking whether any year-end paydays will fall on public holidays or during your closure. If so, you’ll need to bring the pay run forward so staff are paid before bank cut offs, and tell employees about any temporary date changes in writing. While the ATO generally allows lodgement and payment on the next business day when a due date falls on a weekend or public holiday, that doesn’t extend to paying wages late. Report each pay run through Single Touch Payroll (STP) on or before payday, including any brought forward payments you’re processing before year-end closure. Keep your PAYG withholding and BAS lodgements on track. If you’ll have difficulty meeting due dates, contact your tax adviser and the ATO early to discuss options. Don’t overlook super guarantee (SG) contributions on wages and paid leave taken over the break; annual leave and public holiday pay are part of ordinary time earnings for SG purposes. October to December quarter super must be received by employees’ funds by 28 January, so pay early to allow for bank processing times and so you don’t trigger the SG charge, interest, penalties and loss of deductibility. If you provide year-end bonuses or staff gifts, process bonuses through payroll and withhold tax, and consider whether FBT applies to functions or presents. The minor benefits exemption may cover low cost, infrequent items, but good records are essential. Remember that full-time and part-time employees who would normally work on a public holiday are entitled to their base rate for ordinary hours if they don’t work. You can ask employees to work public holidays, but requests must be reasonable and employees can refuse on reasonable grounds. If they do work, apply the correct penalty rates or time off in lieu under their award or agreement. Where a public holiday happens during an employee’s annual leave, it counts as a public holiday, not a leave day. For holiday shutdowns, you can only direct employees to take annual leave if an applicable award or registered agreement allows it, usually with advance written notice. Where staff don’t have enough leave, many awards allow leave in advance or unpaid leave by agreement; make sure to document any agreement in writing. Check whether leave loading applies to annual leave taken over this period, and ensure your payroll system calculates it correctly.
By Cogger Gurry November 13, 2025
PAYDAY SUPER - Next step for payday super: legislation introduced to Parliament The government’s payday super reforms have taken another step towards implementation with the introduction of legislation to Parliament. Requiring employers to pay employee super contributions on payday, the reforms are designed to ensure that employees benefit from more frequent and earlier super contributions that grow and compound over their working life and reduce instances of unpaid super. Contribution timeframes are now measured in “business days” rather than “calendar days”, and employers will have 7 business days to make contributions. The legislation still needs to pass through both the House of Representatives and the Senate before it becomes law, but you shouldn’t wait to start planning. Recognising that employers need time to deploy, test and embed changes in their payroll systems and business processes, the ATO has released a new draft Practical Compliance Guideline that outlines its proposed compliance approach for the first year of payday super (starting 1 July 2026). It plans to use a risk-based framework where employers will be categorised as at low risk, medium risk or high risk of not meeting their payday super obligations. What’s next? Start preparing now. Review your payroll systems and processes to ensure they’re ready for payday super by 1 July 2026; consider whether more frequent super payments could have cash flow implications for your business that you need to act on; and look for alternatives if you use the SBSCH, as it will be closed from 1 July 2026. Planning ahead will help you be compliant with the law and make a smooth transition. Keep an eye on developments as the legislation progresses through Parliament and as the ATO finalises its compliance guideline. Changes could still be made before the reforms take effect.
More Posts